Reduction in HCC risk after SVR: Veterans Affairs

Reduction in HCC risk after SVR: Veterans Affairs
Ioannou GN, AASLD 2017, Abs. 142

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Design

  • Retrospective cohort (Veterans Affairs, 167 medical centers USA)
  • Follow-up start : 180 days after initiation of the 1st antiviral treatment, 1999-2015 ; end of follow-up : June 15, 2017 or death or loss to follow-up
    • IFN ± RBV, n = 35 871
    • DAA + IFN-based, n = 4 535
    • DAA only, n = 21 949
  • Exclusion of patients with HCC prior to antiviral treatment or occurring < 180 days post-initiation of antiviral treatment
  • After a mean follow-up of 6.1 years, incident HCC = 3271
  • Cox proportional hazards regression adjusted for potential confounders
    • SVR12 vs treatment failure
    • Treatment with DAA vs IFN

Probability free from HCC diagnosis

Probability free from HCC diagnosis

SVR and HCC risk


* Adjusted on decompensated cirrhosis, age, sex, race/ethnicity, BMI, HCV genotype, HCV Viral load, HIV co-infection, HBV co-infection, type 2 diabetes, alcohol use, substance use, platelet count, bilirubin, creatinine, albumin, AST/ALT, INR and hemoglobin
** Adjusted on same 21 confounders + cirrhosis

  • Incidence of HCC was not different with the different antiviral regimens (DAA vs IFN), both in cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients

Conclusions

  • SVR is associated with a reduction in HCC risk
    • Reduction of risk is independent of regimen
      • 68% with IFN-only regimens
      • 52% with DAA (boceprevir, telaprevir or sofosbuvir) + IFN
      • 71% with DAA-only regimens
    • Reduction of risk is similar in cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients
  • DAA is not associated with increased HCC risk compared with IFN