Survival benefits of DAA in patients with decompensated cirrhosis
Kim WR, EASL 2018, Abs. PS-151
Objective
- Incidence of deaths in DAA-treated patients with decompensated cirrhosis (Child-Pugh B or C) from LDV/SOF and SOF/VEL studies (SOLAR-1, SOLAR-2, ASTRAL-4, N = 463)
- Comparison with the expected incidence in un-treated patients (survival model from liver transplant waitlist in the pre-DAA era: 2 cohorts, one for model development, one for model validation)
Observed versus expected deaths in DAA-treated patients
- 54 deaths expected from survival mode
- 25 deaths observed over 1 year
Standardized mortality ratio
Observed versus expected deaths in DAA-treated patients
Observed deaths from W12 vs expected re-calculated from W12 data update
Conclusions
- Decompensated HCV cirrhosis patients treated with LDV/SOF or SOF/VEL experienced significantly fewer deaths than predicted by the survival model
- The difference became significant in less than 120 days
- By the end of the first year, the risk was reduced by 54%
- When the survival model was re-applied with week 12 updated data, observed and expected mortality matched, suggesting
- Re-compensation following DAA therapy
- SVR on DAA therapy translates in mortality benefit
- A further validation of the survival model